15 Jul · 09:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ivchuk
ELO 1705
FormWWWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Ivchuk
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii S Marushchak
ELO 1615
FormLWLWW
60%
40%
🌟Marushchak covers set handicap as underdog 63% (65)
Fair odds · Ivchuk
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+90
H2H40-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-6)