15 Jul · 11:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SY
🇺🇦Stefan Yakimenko
ELO 1512
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Solomko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1529
FormLWLLL
48%
52%
🌟Solomko stays under total as favourite 65% (69)
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H68-59
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.