15 Jul · 13:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1529
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Solomko
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1523
FormWLWLL
51%
49%
🌟Solomko stays under total as favourite 65% (69)
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H20-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.