15 Jul · 11:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1472
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stetsenko
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1462
FormWLWWW
51%
49%
🌟Khalenko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (35)
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H15-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.