15 Jul · 09:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1523
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Moshovskyi
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Moshovskyi
ELO 1561
FormLWLWW
46%
54%
🌟Moshovskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (30)
Fair odds · Moshovskyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H2-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.