15 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1429
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kondratenko
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Melnykov
ELO 1427
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kondratenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H17-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.