15 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1434
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Khalenko
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1462
FormWLWWW
47%
53%
🌟Khalenko stays under total as favourite 78% (23)
Fair odds · Khalenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.