15 Jul · 09:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1599
FormWWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Balabei
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Balabei
ELO 1701
FormWLLWW
39%
61%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kushnirenko
Fair odds · Balabei
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H73-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (73-19)