15 Jul · 06:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VH
🇺🇦Valerii Hel
ELO 1476
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hel
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1464
FormLWLLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Maksymkiv🌟Hel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (39)
Fair odds · Hel
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H4-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.