15 Jul · 07:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TH
🇺🇦Tomas Hlavacek
ELO 1698
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Hlavacek
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1641
FormWLLWW
56%
44%
🌟Dobias covers set handicap as underdog 67% (21)
Fair odds · Hlavacek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)