15 Jul · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇺🇦Martin Bouska
ELO 1630
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Bouska
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1549
FormLWLWW
59%
41%
🌟Burylov covers set handicap as underdog 71% (35)
Fair odds · Bouska
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H7-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)