15 Jul · 09:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Ponomarenko
ELO 2151
FormWWWWW
84%Win chancemodel fair 1.19Ponomarenko
RH
🇺🇦Roman Horokh
ELO 1756
FormLLWWL
84%
16%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 84% · 1.19vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 71%Total ~69 pts
3-0
45%
3-1
26%
3-2
13%
2-3
7%
1-3
5%
Elo Gap+395
H2H190-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+395)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (190-32)