15 Jul · 08:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇺🇦Martin Bouska
ELO 1630
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Dobias
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1641
FormWLLWW
49%
51%
🌟Dobias rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (104)
Fair odds · Dobias
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H4-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.