15 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1462
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Khalenko
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1450
FormLLLLW
51%
49%
🌟Khalenko stays under total as favourite 78% (23)
Fair odds · Khalenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.