15 Jul · 13:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YT
🇺🇦Yaroslav Tebenko
ELO 1539
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Pytsko
IP
🇺🇦Ivan Pytsko
ELO 1587
FormWWLLL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Tebenko🌟Pytsko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (16)
Fair odds · Pytsko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H61-41
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (61-41)