15 Jul · 12:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kryvoshyi
ELO 1476
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kryvoshyi
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1464
FormLWLLL
51%
49%
🌟Kryvoshyi stays under total as favourite 76% (17)
Fair odds · Kryvoshyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.