15 Jul · 12:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VH
🇺🇦Valerii Hel
ELO 1476
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Oliynyk
HO
🇺🇦Hryhoriy Oliynyk
ELO 1488
FormWLLLW
49%
51%
🌟Hel covers set handicap as underdog 62% (29)
Fair odds · Oliynyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.