15 Jul · 08:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DM
🇺🇦Denys Maltsev
ELO 1577
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Pytsko
IP
🇺🇦Ivan Pytsko
ELO 1587
FormWWLLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Maltsev🌟Pytsko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (16)
Fair odds · Pytsko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H33-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.