15 Jul · 10:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ivchuk
ELO 1705
FormWWWLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Ivchuk
PP
🇺🇦Pavel Plakushchyi
ELO 1543
FormWLLWL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Ivchuk
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+162
H2H10-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-0)