15 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1472
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Stetsenko
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1434
FormWWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Stetsenko stays under total as favourite 62% (66)
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H3-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.