15 Jul · 12:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1553
FormLLWWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Syksa
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1431
FormWLLLW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+122
H2H54-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (54-29)