15 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LV
🇺🇦Lukas Veigl
ELO 1552
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Veigl
MK
🇺🇦Matej Kovarik
ELO 1516
FormWLWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Veigl
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
Elo Gap+36
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.