15 Jul · 09:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1562
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Osadchyi
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1529
FormLWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Solomko covers set handicap as underdog 64% (114)
Fair odds · Osadchyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H47-58
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.