15 Jul · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1434
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Skhabitskiy
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1450
FormLLLLW
48%
52%
🌟Klymenko covers set handicap as underdog 62% (61)
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H12-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.