15 Jul · 07:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1562
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Osadchyi
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1526
FormLWWWW
54%
46%
🌟Ovsiienko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (51)
Fair odds · Osadchyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 71% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
Elo Gap+36
H2H13-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.