15 Jul · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LV
🇺🇦Lukas Veigl
ELO 1552
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Rochowanski
JR
🇺🇦Jan Rochowanski
ELO 1556
FormWLWLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rochowanski🌟Veigl covers set handicap as underdog 71% (34)
Fair odds · Rochowanski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.