15 Jul · 06:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DM
🇺🇦Denys Maltsev
ELO 1577
FormLLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Rodin
OR
🇺🇦Oleksii Rodin
ELO 1663
FormWWWWW
41%
59%
🌟Maltsev covers set handicap as underdog 64% (74)
Fair odds · Rodin
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H8-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)