15 Jul · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1466
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kuzmenko
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Ponomarenko
ELO 1447
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.