15 Jul · 10:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Moshovskyi
ELO 1561
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pytsko
IP
🇺🇦Ivan Pytsko
ELO 1587
FormWWLLL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Moshovskyi🌟Pytsko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (16)
Fair odds · Pytsko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.