15 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1472
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Stetsenko
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1429
FormWLWWL
55%
45%
🌟Stetsenko stays under total as favourite 62% (66)
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H11-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-3)