15 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇺🇦Matej Kovarik
ELO 1516
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Pisa
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1525
FormWLLLW
49%
51%
🌟Pisa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (57)
Fair odds · Pisa
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.