15 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1450
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Skhabitskiy
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Melnykov
ELO 1427
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H35-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.