15 Jul · 08:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Orest Melnik
ELO 1507
FormWLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Melnik
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1464
FormLWLLL
55%
45%
🌟Melnik covers set handicap as favourite 65% (20)
Fair odds · Melnik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H9-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-1)