15 Jul · 10:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1599
FormWWLWL
91%Win chancemodel fair 1.10Ponomarenko
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Ponomarenko
ELO 2151
FormWWWWW
9%
91%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 91% · 1.10vsMarket 91% · 1.09· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 80%Total ~69 pts
0-3
53%
1-3
27%
2-3
12%
3-2
5%
3-1
3%
Elo Gap+552
H2H48-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+552)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-0)