15 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇺🇦Jakub Dufek Jnr
ELO 1525
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jnr
JK
🇺🇦Julius Krejcik
ELO 1505
FormLWLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.