15 Jul · 08:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SY
🇺🇦Stefan Yakimenko
ELO 1512
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Ovsiienko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1526
FormLWWWW
49%
51%
🌟Yakimenko covers set handicap as underdog 63% (103)
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.