15 Jul · 21:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RD
🇺🇦Roman Durovic
ELO 1552
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Durovic
LS
🇺🇦Lukas Svoboda
ELO 1530
FormLLLWW
52%
48%
🌟Svoboda covers set handicap as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Durovic
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.