15 Jul · 20:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇺🇦Lukas Svoboda
ELO 1530
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Burylov
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1561
FormLWWLW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Svoboda🌟Svoboda covers set handicap as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Burylov
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 53% · 1.87· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.