16 Jul · 09:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VZ
🇺🇦Vitaliy Zharskiy
ELO 1589
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zharskiy
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Romanenko
ELO 1573
FormWLWLW
52%
48%
🌟Romanenko covers set handicap as underdog 71% (56)
Fair odds · Zharskiy
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H10-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.