16 Jul · 09:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1567
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Osadchyi
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1520
FormLWLWL
55%
45%
🌟Ovsiienko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (51)
Fair odds · Osadchyi
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H14-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-3)