16 Jul · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MC
🇺🇦Marcel Cmil
ELO 1453
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Holub
MH
🇺🇦Martin Holub
ELO 1501
FormLWLLW
45%
55%
🌟Cmil covers set handicap as underdog 64% (47)
Fair odds · Holub
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H53-39
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (53-39)