16 Jul · 08:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VI
🇺🇦Viktor Ivanytskyi
ELO 1452
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Melnyk
YM
🇺🇦Yuriy Melnyk
ELO 1472
FormWWWLW
48%
52%
🌟Ivanytskyi covers set handicap as underdog 68% (25)
Fair odds · Melnyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.