16 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇺🇦Michal Snizek
ELO 1460
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Snizek
MC
🇺🇦Marcel Cmil
ELO 1453
FormLLWWL
51%
49%
🌟Cmil covers set handicap as underdog 64% (47)
Fair odds · Snizek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H17-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.