16 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AA
🇺🇦Artur Akopyan
ELO 1372
FormLLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Cmil
MC
🇺🇦Marcel Cmil
ELO 1453
FormLLWWL
41%
59%
🌟Cmil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (78)
Fair odds · Cmil
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H41-35
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-35)