16 Jul · 10:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VI
🇺🇦Viktor Ivanytskyi
ELO 1452
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Ivanytskyi
YS
🇺🇦Yuriy Shcherbak
ELO 1404
FormLLWLL
55%
45%
🌟Shcherbak rarely covers set handicap as underdog 36% (42)
Fair odds · Ivanytskyi
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H3-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)