16 Jul · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇺🇦Pavlo Shulhachyk
ELO 1599
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Shulhachyk
DT
🇺🇦Dmytro Tsys
ELO 1583
FormWWWWW
52%
48%
🌟Tsys covers set handicap as underdog 65% (23)
Fair odds · Shulhachyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.