16 Jul · 09:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maksymiv
ELO 1658
FormLWWWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Maksymiv
RK
🇺🇦Roman Konkulovskyi
ELO 1527
FormLLWLL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Maksymiv
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~74 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
18%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+131
H2H43-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+131)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-38)