16 Jul · 10:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RK
🇺🇦Roman Konkulovskyi
ELO 1527
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sukovatyi
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sukovatyi
ELO 1578
FormLLLWL
45%
55%
🌟Sukovatyi stays under total as favourite 62% (111)
Fair odds · Sukovatyi
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H31-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-27)