16 Jul · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Ponomarenko
ELO 1416
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Maliuk
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1487
FormLWLWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)