16 Jul · 09:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kovalenko
ELO 1430
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Khalenko
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1444
FormLLLWL
48%
52%
🌟Khalenko stays under total as favourite 78% (23)
Fair odds · Khalenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.